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Indivisible supporter poll: Warren and Harris lead after strong debate performances

07/02/2019

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
July 2, 2019
Contact: Emily Phelps | press@indivisible.org

Washington, DC — Indivisible surveyed members of the Indivisible community to hear more about their thoughts after the first two presidential debates. After the debates on June 27, we sent a web poll out to our email list and received 18,500 responses from all 50 states, Puerto Rico, the District of Columbia and the Virgin Islands. The survey asked respondents three questions: Which candidates are you considering voting for, which candidate are you NOT considering voting for, and who would you vote for if you had to pick today?

The Indivisible Project’s national political director María Urbina released the following analysis of the poll:

“In our supporter poll, we asked about candidate support in a few different ways and, any way you look at it, Warren and Harris are the top performing candidates coming out of the debate. When we asked people to name all of the candidates they are considering voting for, 86% of our movement told us they are considering Warren, while 83% are considering Harris. On top of that, if the election were held today, 35% of people said they would vote for Warren and 31% selected Harris. 

“We asked Indivisibles to identify which candidates they are considering voting for and which they are definitely not. The results revealed that the historic candidacies of women, people of color and LGBTQ candidates are faring well among the movement and have plenty of room to grow as the field narrows. It also revealed that some of the presumed frontrunners may hit a ceiling with activists, given how many Indivisibles say they aren’t considering them at all.

“Indivisibles are clearly excited by the historic candidates we’re seeing this cycle. Warren, Harris, Buttigieg, Castro, and Booker received the highest net support in our survey, and each of their candidacies fights back against the narrative that only a straight white man can beat Trump. Indivisibles changed the political map last year when they helped flip the House and ushered in a new generation of Democratic leaders. They know what is politically possible because they are the ones who, with our allies, put in the work to make it possible.

“To gain support ahead, the model for what impresses Indivisibles is increasingly clear: unapologetically progressive leaders with clear ideas for how to address the concerns of all people.”

Results: Indivisible’s 2020 Primary Election Survey  

Methodology: 

From June 27 to July 1, Indivisible surveyed members of the Indivisible community to hear more about their thoughts after the first two presidential debates. Immediately following the second Democratic presidential primary debate, Indivisible sent a web poll out to its email list and received 18,500 responses from all 50 states, Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia and the Virgin Islands. The survey asked respondents three key questions: Which candidates are you considering voting for, which candidate are you NOT considering voting for, and who would you vote for if you had to pick today--the standard “horserace” question. 

Which candidates are you considering voting for? Which candidates are you NOT considering voting for?

Respondents were asked to select as many candidates as they wanted in response to each question. 57% of respondents identified 2-5 candidates they are considering. Only 4% of respondents said they were only considering 1 candidate.

Results side-by-side: Considering vs. Not Considering 

Red - Not considering; percent of people who are not considering the candidate
Blue - Considering; percent of people who said they were considering the candidate

Percent of people who said they were considering a candidate, minus percent of people who are not considering that candidate. 

Candidates who are net positive: 

  • Warren 80pp

  • Harris 75pp

  • Buttigieg 46pp

  • Castro 29pp

  • Booker 22pp

If the primary was held today, who would you vote for? 

  • Warren: 35%

  • Harris: 31%

  • Biden: 10%

  • Sanders: 9%

  • Buttigieg: 8%

  • 1% ers: 

    • Castro

    • Klobuchar

    • Booker

    • Inslee

    • Gabbard

    • O’Rourke

  • Everyone else at 0%

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ABOUT THE INDIVISIBLE PROJECT

The Indivisible Project is a registered 501(c)(4) nonprofit. Our mission is to cultivate and lift up a grassroots movement of local groups to defeat the Trump agenda, elect progressive leaders, and realize bold progressive policies. Across the nation, thousands of local groups are using the Indivisible Guide to hold their members of Congress accountable. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate committee.